"The country’s south received three months’ rain in two weeks. Global warming has made such deluges twice as likely as before, scientists said."
"Human-caused warming has doubled the chances that southern Brazil will experience extreme, multiday downpours like the ones that recently caused disastrous flooding there, a team of scientists said on Monday. The deluges have killed at least 172 people and displaced more than half a million residents from their homes.
Three months’ rain fell in a two-week span of April and May in the southern state of Rio Grande do Sul. After analyzing weather records, the scientists estimated that the region had a 1 percent chance each year of receiving so much rain in so little time. In the cooler climate of the 19th century, before large-scale emissions of greenhouse gases, such colossal downpours were far rarer, the researchers said.
Brazil’s south is one of the country’s rainiest regions. As the world gets warmer, the areas of high atmospheric pressure that occasionally form over the Atlantic coast of South America are becoming larger and longer lasting. That pushes more warm, moist air toward the south, where it can fall as rain."
Raymond Zhong and Manuela Andreoni report for the New York Times June 3, 2024.
SEE ALSO:
"Climate Change Made Devastating Brazil Floods Twice As Likely, Scientists Say" (Reuters)
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